Asian stocks and futures edged lower while oil held recent gains as optimism over a deal affecting the Strait of Hormuz faded, reviving inflation concerns. Treasury yields rose, the yen weakened, and Australian bonds fell ahead of a policy decision.
9:08 PMEconomic Times91 stories from 8 sources
Oil and inflation put the rally under pressure
Day’s Recap
Supporting Articles

Uncertainty surrounding Iran pushed oil prices higher and dragged down major stock indexes on Monday. The report previews the developments expected to influence trading in the next session.
6:54 PMCNBCU.S. Treasury prices declined and yields rose as investors prepared for consumer and producer inflation data. Middle East tensions and upcoming Treasury auctions added uncertainty, while traders modestly reduced expectations for further Federal Reserve rate hikes.
2:37 PMEconomic Times
Oil prices rose as European and Asian stocks traded unevenly, while analysts linked a decline in Big Tech shares to traders taking profits after recent gains.
8:50 AMFortuneGold rose for a third consecutive session to a two-month high as traders awaited major U.S. inflation data and reassessed the outlook for interest rates after weaker employment signals.
10:03 PMEconomic Times
JPMorgan expects July's consumer price index report to produce potentially significant moves in stocks. The market's reaction will depend on how the data changes expectations for Federal Reserve policy.
4:00 PMCNBCA softer U.S. labor market could support stocks if weaker hiring allows the Federal Reserve to cut rates while wage growth remains contained.
9:30 AMMarketWatchThe yen stabilized after a sharp decline, but traders remained doubtful that coordinated U.S. and Japanese intervention would produce a lasting recovery. The Australian dollar climbed to an eight-week high ahead of the Reserve Bank of Australia's policy decision.
10:11 PMEconomic Times
Attention is turning to the Bank of Japan after a weak jobs report, with markets assessing how the data should affect monetary policy.
1:30 AMFinancial Times
Hong Kong may extend a new tax regime to trading firms including Jane Street and Citadel Securities, broadening incentives that have already attracted interest from hedge funds.
11:18 PMBloomberg Markets
Investors are shifting money from cryptocurrency stocks into artificial intelligence companies, driving AI valuations higher while putting pressure on crypto-related equities. The move reflects a broader preference for AI's perceived commercial momentum over crypto's more speculative investment case.
4:04 PMPYMNTS
Apollo Chief Economist Torsten Slok argues that the AI boom is producing growth without a sustainable profit model. He says investors are effectively funding reported profits because customer revenue has not yet justified the industry's spending and valuations.
3:00 AMFortune
Singapore raised its 2026 growth forecast to 4.5% to 5.5%, more than doubling the lower end of its previous 2% to 4% range, as artificial intelligence-related activity strengthens the outlook.
10:58 PMCNBCThe article argues that returning inflation to the Federal Reserve's 2% target will not resolve the United States' debt burden. Sustained inflation may instead be needed to reduce the real value of government liabilities, even at the cost of weaker purchasing power.
10:21 AMMarketWatch
The Congressional Budget Office projects a $2.1 trillion federal deficit for 2026, while the administration's tariff regime faces a constitutional challenge that could undermine its expected contribution to deficit reduction.
3:13 PMFortune
President Trump said he recently spoke with Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh but denied maintaining regular contact with him. His comments came amid concerns that White House pressure could undermine the central bank's independence.
5:23 PMCNBCGlobal Market Today: Asian shares trade lower; oil holds gains
Summary
Asian stocks and futures edged lower while oil held recent gains as optimism over a deal affecting the Strait of Hormuz faded, reviving inflation concerns. Treasury yields rose, the yen weakened, and Australian bonds fell ahead of a policy decision.
The market is repricing the risk that prolonged energy disruption keeps inflation elevated, putting upward
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Energy risk is again linking higher inflation expectations to weaker risk assets and tighter financial conditions across Asia.
4 stories · 3 sources

Tuesday's big stock stories: What’s likely to move the market in the next trading session
Summary
Uncertainty surrounding Iran pushed oil prices higher and dragged down major stock indexes on Monday. The report previews the developments expected to influence trading in the next session.
The immediate market transmission remains the oil price: geopolitical uncertainty raises energy costs, which can
Unlock the full First Pass Analysis to get a better understanding of why this story mattersWhy it matters
Geopolitical risk is affecting stocks primarily through its impact on energy prices and inflation.
US bonds fall as markets weight inflation, Middle East risks
Summary
U.S. Treasury prices declined and yields rose as investors prepared for consumer and producer inflation data. Middle East tensions and upcoming Treasury auctions added uncertainty, while traders modestly reduced expectations for further Federal Reserve rate hikes.
Bond markets are balancing two opposing forces: weaker expected Fed tightening and a higher risk
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Inflation data and auction demand could determine whether rising yields reflect better growth prospects or worsening fiscal and geopolitical risk.

Oil prices rise and analysts see Big Tech selloff linked to traders locking in gains
Summary
Oil prices rose as European and Asian stocks traded unevenly, while analysts linked a decline in Big Tech shares to traders taking profits after recent gains.
Profit-taking can pressure high-flying technology stocks without signaling a broad change in fundamentals, but rising
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The combination of higher oil and profit-taking threatens both inflation-sensitive assets and richly valued technology stocks.
Gold rises for third straight session, inflation prints in focus
Summary
Gold rose for a third consecutive session to a two-month high as traders awaited major U.S. inflation data and reassessed the outlook for interest rates after weaker employment signals.
The weaker labor backdrop has reduced expectations for additional Federal Reserve tightening, lowering the opportunity
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Gold is being used as a direct gauge of changing expectations for U.S. rates and real yields.
2 stories · 2 sources

Here's how the market may react to July's CPI report, according to JPMorgan
Summary
JPMorgan expects July's consumer price index report to produce potentially significant moves in stocks. The market's reaction will depend on how the data changes expectations for Federal Reserve policy.
The CPI release is a near-term test of whether markets have priced inflation and interest
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One inflation report could quickly reprice both the Fed outlook and equity valuations.
The U.S. economy is shedding jobs. Here’s why that’s good news for stocks.
Summary
A softer U.S. labor market could support stocks if weaker hiring allows the Federal Reserve to cut rates while wage growth remains contained.
The market is treating moderate labor-market deterioration as favorable because it reduces inflation pressure without
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Investors are relying on a narrow path in which weaker employment lowers rates without triggering a recession.
Yen steadies as intervention boost fades; RBA in focus
Summary
The yen stabilized after a sharp decline, but traders remained doubtful that coordinated U.S. and Japanese intervention would produce a lasting recovery. The Australian dollar climbed to an eight-week high ahead of the Reserve Bank of Australia's policy decision.
The yen's stabilization without a durable rebound suggests intervention can slow market moves but may
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Currency markets are testing the limits of intervention while positioning for a potentially market-moving Australian policy signal.
2 stories · 2 sources

Your move, BoJ
Summary
Attention is turning to the Bank of Japan after a weak jobs report, with markets assessing how the data should affect monetary policy.
The weak labor data complicates any case for faster policy tightening by pointing to softer
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The jobs data could narrow the Bank of Japan's room to normalize policy without worsening economic weakness.

Hong Kong May Expand Tax Breaks to Trading Firms, FT Says
Summary
Hong Kong may extend a new tax regime to trading firms including Jane Street and Citadel Securities, broadening incentives that have already attracted interest from hedge funds.
Including market makers would widen the reforms beyond traditional asset managers and lower the cost
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Tax treatment for trading firms could influence where global liquidity and market-making operations are based.
2 stories · 2 sources

Crypto Stocks Suffer as Investors Send AI Soaring
Summary
Investors are shifting money from cryptocurrency stocks into artificial intelligence companies, driving AI valuations higher while putting pressure on crypto-related equities. The move reflects a broader preference for AI's perceived commercial momentum over crypto's more speculative investment case.
Capital is rotating toward AI because investors now see clearer revenue growth and strategic demand
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The trade shows how quickly investor enthusiasm can reprice entire technology sectors around a new growth narrative.

Top economist warns that the AI math doesn’t make sense: ‘Profits are currently being funded by investors rather than earned from customers’
Summary
Apollo Chief Economist Torsten Slok argues that the AI boom is producing growth without a sustainable profit model. He says investors are effectively funding reported profits because customer revenue has not yet justified the industry's spending and valuations.
The core vulnerability is the gap between capital flowing into AI and cash being generated
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AI's expansion may be constrained less by technical progress than by whether customers will pay enough to support its infrastructure costs.

Singapore revises its annual growth forecast sharply higher on AI-related boost
Summary
Singapore raised its 2026 growth forecast to 4.5% to 5.5%, more than doubling the lower end of its previous 2% to 4% range, as artificial intelligence-related activity strengthens the outlook.
The upgrade signals that AI investment and related trade are producing a broader lift for
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Singapore is becoming an early test of whether the AI investment cycle can materially lift advanced Asian economies.
Wall Street thinks inflation is under control. Here’s why investors shouldn’t buy it.
Summary
The article argues that returning inflation to the Federal Reserve's 2% target will not resolve the United States' debt burden. Sustained inflation may instead be needed to reduce the real value of government liabilities, even at the cost of weaker purchasing power.
The debt constraint now limits how durable a strict disinflation policy can be. Policymakers face
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The debt outlook makes the Fed's inflation promise a test of fiscal credibility as much as monetary policy.

Trump’s $200 billion tariff hit swells budget deficit to $2.1 trillion for 2026, CBO confirms
Summary
The Congressional Budget Office projects a $2.1 trillion federal deficit for 2026, while the administration's tariff regime faces a constitutional challenge that could undermine its expected contribution to deficit reduction.
The key fiscal change is that tariffs cannot reliably serve as a deficit-reduction tool if
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The tariff strategy's legal vulnerability could worsen an already projected trillion-dollar deficit.

Trump says he spoke recently to Fed Chairman Warsh, denies regular calls
Summary
President Trump said he recently spoke with Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh but denied maintaining regular contact with him. His comments came amid concerns that White House pressure could undermine the central bank's independence.
The admission confirms direct presidential contact with the Fed chair while rejecting a pattern of
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Perceived political influence over the Fed could raise borrowing costs and weaken confidence in U.S. monetary policy.
Other Developments
A curated list of other prominent stories from this day.

Analysts expect the yuan's recent period of stability to give way to renewed gains against the dollar as September approaches, supported by seasonal export strength and other recurring factors.
11:51 PMBloomberg Markets
Hong Kong is preparing to broaden its main technology stock benchmark with more companies from the artificial-intelligence and robotics sectors, giving investors greater exposure to China's technology industry.
11:35 PMBloomberg Markets
Vietnam is prioritizing the creation of large domestic conglomerates modeled partly on South Korea's chaebols, seeking to reduce its reliance on foreign investment and trade-led growth.
8:53 PMFinancial Times
Colombia's inflation cooled last month, giving the central bank some relief after it unexpectedly left interest rates unchanged at its latest meeting.
7:47 PMBloomberg Markets
Currency traders are increasing bullish options positions on the Taiwan dollar after its worst July performance since 2015.
7:00 PMBloomberg Markets
US-listed bitcoin ETFs attracted more than $850 million last week, their strongest inflows since April, after news of a crypto hack.
10:05 AMPYMNTSJPMorgan raised its year-end target for the S&P 500 to 8,000 from 7,800.
5:19 AMMarketWatch
German Economy Minister Katherina Reiche warned that the AfD’s political rise could discourage investors as Berlin seeks to attract €3.75 trillion in private capital by 2040.
12:00 AMFinancial Times
Yuan’s March Against Dollar May Resume Next Month, Analysts Say
Summary
Analysts expect the yuan's recent period of stability to give way to renewed gains against the dollar as September approaches, supported by seasonal export strength and other recurring factors.
The yuan could regain momentum if stronger autumn exports increase foreign-currency receipts and improve confidence
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The yuan's direction will influence China's policy flexibility and regional currency markets.

Hong Kong Tech Index Set for Overhaul With More Firms, AI Focus
Summary
Hong Kong is preparing to broaden its main technology stock benchmark with more companies from the artificial-intelligence and robotics sectors, giving investors greater exposure to China's technology industry.
The overhaul would redirect index demand toward newer technology leaders and make the benchmark more
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Index changes can move capital toward AI and robotics firms and reshape how investors access Chinese technology.

Communist Vietnam bets on Korean-style ‘chaebols’ to boost growth
Summary
Vietnam is prioritizing the creation of large domestic conglomerates modeled partly on South Korea's chaebols, seeking to reduce its reliance on foreign investment and trade-led growth.
The policy shifts Hanoi's focus toward building national champions with enough scale to drive investment,
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Vietnam is trying to move from an investment destination to a more self-sustaining industrial power, with governance risks built into the strategy.

Colombia Inflation Unexpectedly Slows, Easing Pressure on Rates
Summary
Colombia's inflation cooled last month, giving the central bank some relief after it unexpectedly left interest rates unchanged at its latest meeting.
The softer inflation reading reduces the immediate case for tighter policy and may give officials
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Lower inflation improves the odds that Colombia's central bank can shift toward rate cuts without reigniting price pressures.

Traders Are Piling Into Taiwan Dollar Options to Bet on Rebound
Summary
Currency traders are increasing bullish options positions on the Taiwan dollar after its worst July performance since 2015.
The options activity marks a shift from defending against further weakness to positioning for a
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A Taiwan dollar rebound would signal improving appetite for Asian assets after a sharp period of stress.

Bitcoin ETFs Enjoy Stronger Inflows Following Crypto Hack
Summary
US-listed bitcoin ETFs attracted more than $850 million last week, their strongest inflows since April, after news of a crypto hack.
The inflows suggest investors are choosing regulated exchange-traded exposure even as security risks remain visible
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Strong ETF demand indicates that institutional-style access is gaining ground despite continuing risks in the underlying crypto ecosystem.
Wall Street’s biggest bank just raised its expectations for the stock market
Summary
JPMorgan raised its year-end target for the S&P 500 to 8,000 from 7,800.
The higher target reflects stronger expected earnings or valuation support, but it also raises the
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A higher target from a major bank can reinforce bullish positioning, while making any earnings or policy disappointment more consequential.

German economy minister warns AfD’s rise could deter investors
Summary
German Economy Minister Katherina Reiche warned that the AfD’s political rise could discourage investors as Berlin seeks to attract €3.75 trillion in private capital by 2040.
Political uncertainty is becoming a direct obstacle to Germany’s investment plans. If investors view the
Unlock the full First Pass Analysis to get a better understanding of why this story mattersWhy it matters
Germany’s ability to finance its long-term growth and infrastructure goals depends on preserving investor confidence.
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